The Iran threatened clearly: the closure of Hormone It is one of the “possible choices” in response to Israeli military operations. World Shipping is at the heart of a geopolitical storm.
The Iran – Israel conflict threatens to overthrow the fragile balance in the area and bring to the surface the darkest nightmares of global markets: the risk of energy suffocation and marine destabilization in case Iran eventually makes threats to the straits of the hormoz.
The closure of the straits of the hormoz, through which he passes 20% of the daily global oil consumptionis one of the options that Iran could activate in response to its enemies, the characteristics of the semi -formal news agency Mehr, Beenham Saendi, a member of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security Bureau, said.
However, Member of Parliament Ali Yazdihah has clarified that free navigation in the Persian Gulf and in the straits will continue, unless the Iranian vital interests of Iran are jeopardized.
“If the United States is formally and operational into the war in favor of the Zionists, then it is Iran’s legal right to exert pressure by disturbing oil crossing,” he said.
Such a move would be a strong blow to world navigation, as it is a strategic maritime passage, with a width of 55 to 95 kilometers between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, that is, between the coasts of Iran to the north and Oman and the United Arab Emirates.
The movement of cargo through the hormoz narrows noted slight declinebut there has been no major disorder in the basic oil infrastructure so far, which entertains some of the worst fears of the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel.
To June 15 was impacted by 111 cargo ships via the Ormuz, from 116 On June 12, as announced Monday by the joint shipping center. Tel Aviv launched attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities and senior military commanders a day later. The narrow waterway manages about one fifth of world oil production.
The importance of the straits of the hormoz
Tankers carry about 20 of the 22.8 million barrels of oil produced by Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait and Qatar daily through the strait, which is only 55 kilometers wide. Iran itself also uses them. The country delivers almost three million barrels of oil a day. A barrel fits 159 liters.
Analysts of Ing Investment Bank explain that no There is a real alternative to shipping Through the Ormuz Range in most of these countries. Only Saudi Arabia and the UAE have limited options to turn to the east-west oil pipeline through the Arabian Peninsula and the Abu Dhabi crude pipeline.
“The first, however, leads to the Red Sea, which has already been bypassed,” Ing notes. Rocket attacks by Houthi militia there have been a significant risks for months.
A video made public via the social social media platform, accurately presents the enormous volume of activity in the straits of the hormone, in order to fully understand the impact of closing on the global community.
The video, created by British Craig Taylor, a senior data visualization designer, records and depicts the tanker’s ONLY tanker movement through the strait of the Ormuz, during a typical day, and in particular on Friday, June 13, just hours after the Israeli attack.
Will Iran block Hormuz?
Iranian threats to close the Strait of #Hormuz have resurfaced amid rising tensions, with state media warning of oil at $400 a barrel. But how likely is such a move? Kpler Insight examines the underlying risks and strategic implications.
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— Kpler (@Kpler) June 19, 2025
The international community is worried
Richard Nephew, a former State Department official and a sanctions expert against Iran, said that “if Israel’s goal is to change regime, then refineries, pipelines and basic energy infrastructure will be affected.” And as he repeated: “If we can’t export oil, then no one will export.”
In contrast, Oxford Analytica, through the mouth of Dr. Laura James, recalls that Iran has no interest in a complete rupture. A global energy crisis would alienate Tehran from Arab allies and markets such as China. “Diplomacy remains a necessary security valve,” he says.