When the Vladimir Putin sent at least 19 drones to Poland Last week, he wanted to give a specific message in any direction: he does not plan to end the war against the West soon.
The invasion of Russian drones in the airspace of Poland and Romania (NATO countries) comes after weeks after the air attacks in Ukraine that killed dozens of citizens, caused damage to buildings that house EU and Britain delegations and hit a government building for the first time in downtown Kiev. While Europe is pushing for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has linked his political survival to his conflict with US and Europe, mentions in his analysis the Politico.
“Putin is the president of the war,” said Nikolai Petrov, a senior analyst at the London -based New Eurasian Center for New Eurasian strategies. “It has no interest in ending the war.”
Having shaped as a leader in times of war, his return to the role of the president in times of peace would be equivalent to relegation. “Regardless of the circumstances, he cannot abandon this role,” Petrov said.
With the Ukrainian forces confined to lack of weapons and human resources, Russia is increasingly invading the country.
But the Moscow invasion was slow and expensive. Russian Armed Forces have suffered about one 1 million losses and conflict has adversely affected the Russian economywhich threatens to sink into recession. And yet, from a political point of view, the ending of the conflict poses risks.
With Russia’s liberal opposition being decimated, a small but noisy Group of nationalists is now the biggest threat to Vladimir Putin’s sovereigntysaid Petros. And they have promised them a magnificent victory, not only on Ukraine but also on what the Kremlin calls a “collective West”.
“There is a desire to destroy NATO, to show that it is useless”Former Russian diplomat told Russian DW Russian service.
Since Vladimir Putin met with Donald Trump in Alaska, Moscow has intensified attacks on Europe, according to military analysts. Prior to Wednesday’s invasion, Russian drones had repeatedly invaded the Polish airspace from neighboring Belarus. In August, a Russian drone crashed about 100 kilometers southwest of Warsaw.
According to Welt, 5 of the drones that passed in Poland were on a direct flight orbit to a NATO base Before being stopped by Lockheed Martin F-35 fighter aircraft.
In an article published two days before drones, Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, enter Poland He accused Helsinki of planning attackthreatening that “it could lead to the collapse of the Finnish state, definitively.”
Moscow has also begun to transport vital industries, including shipbuilding, to the east of the country, away from its NATO border, Petrov said. Friday, Russia started the conduct large -scale military exercises With Belarus, including exercises just across the Polish border. Exercises are expected to be completed on Tuesday.
“Whatever Putin succeeds in Ukraine, the confrontation with the West will not end there. It will continue in various forms, “Petrov said. “Including the military”.
With actions such as the invasion of Poland, Vladimir Putin warns Donald Trump and European leaders who are discussing security guarantees for Kiev after a possible peace deal.
“Putin has shown that he can attack NATO today and they do not have defense systems.”
Donald Trump’s mixed messages about his commitment to NATO and his reluctance to keep his own deadlines for imposing sanctions on Moscow, give Vladimir Putin the belief that It can save it.
The Kremlin rejected the accusations that drones were a deliberate challenge. The Russian Ministry of Defense said that “there were no plans to target facilities in Poland”.
Belarus, which served as a launch point for some of the drones, according to Polish officials, said the invasion could have been the result of an “electronic interference” accident.