Open the possibility of changing electoral law – the two scenarios

It may be suitable for the rise of political scenarios in the circles of government and the ND, But the discussion of interventions at electoral law It is absolutely real. Each of them has its own arguments and the discussion evolves, although Mr. Mitsotakis She has closed her several times. Of course, the suggestions come back, but sources with the knowledge of the prime minister’s moods insist that he has not moved, and he does not seem to have asked for a paper exercise.

In the recent interview he gave on his television SKAIbefore the summer respite, Kyriakos Mitsotakis rejected the electoral law intervention scenarios, despite the political fragmentation and the Parliament-“Frankenstein” that has emerged with many medium and small parties. However, given the information and the opposition’s advance reactions, political observers estimate that the issue will be re -raised at the Prime Minister’s press conference at the press conference at TIF. According to his information “THEME”, Mr. Mitsotakis is expected to move on his last last answer line, closing the issue, But no … hermetically. In any case, as prime ministerial interlocutors certify, Mr Mitsotakis is not in the phase of law in spite of dense suggestions.

The bar and the bonus

Prime Minister’s interlocutors, Maximus Grand players and ND MPs, of course, have different views on the right birth, but they contribute to the need for some intervention. Given the need for political stability in a troubled geopolitical environment, many are hypereneous to intervene, especially as long as ND. is still significant from self -reliance rates According to the standards of previous elections.

The first idea is about increasing Entry bar in the House from 3% to 5%in order to stay out of some small parties and thus fall the bar of self -reliance. With today’s data, if the parties out of the House of Representatives add 10%, the self -reliance bar is about 36.5%. The advocates of this view believe that all small parties will not catch the bar, and say that such an arrangement would also favor opposition parties, such as PASOK. The counter -argument, of course, is that no one knows how to act such a change, as it can work together for smaller party formations if they are taken as an approach to their exclusion.

The other view is in favor of interventions in the mechanism of bonus. Today, the first party gets a bonus of over 25%, so it secures 20 seats and then gets 1 extra seat for each 0.5%. Therefore, with a 30% percentage the first party would get a 30 -seater bonus, resulting in self -sufficiency being a distant scenario. The advocates of this view say that the percentage for extra seats could fall to 0.3% or 0.4%.

And if at the level of government officials there is a given self -restraint due to the so far expressed prime ministerial reluctance for changes, at the level of Members things are different. “If ND Go to national elections today, many MPs would risk their headquarters. And especially in the four -presidential regions, “says an experienced piston at” THEMA “. Admittedly, at Tetrahedral Regions ND achieved extremely percentages In the 2023 elections, where in some cases he scored 4-0. Of course, the “blue” representation in the big regions would also be “haired”, where all parties, eg, southern and northern Athens, Athens, East Attica, eg.

Losses in tetrahedral

It is said, it is assumed that ND He will lose seats in tetrahedral, where he achieved the absolute, namely Kavala, Karditsa and the Cyclades. Depending on the electoral performance, the first party can take 3 seats (in the good scenario), 2 (in the most realistic) and 1 (in evil). In this case, if we exclude the MPs who were starting in the crusade of 2023, this means objective difficulties for Angeliki Delikaris, Makarios Lazaridis and Yiannis Paschalidis (Kavala), End Rare, Asimina Skondra, Giorgos Koukos (Cyclades). In the tetrahedral, of course, the concern is nationwide and specifically concerns Stavros Keletsi and Tassos Dimoschaki (Evros), Tassos Bardzokas and Lazaros Tsavdaridis (Imathia), Michalis Papadopoulos (Kozani), Nikos Tyani (Kozani) Anna Mani-Papadimitriou and Spyros Koulkoudina (Pieria), Katerina Papakostas and Thanassis Lioutas (Trikala), Yiannis Economou and Giorgos Kotronias (Fthiotida) and Alexandros Markogiannakis (Chania).

A typical example of MP who has uploaded the tones even in the midst of the summer is Maximos Harakopoulos from Larissa, who emits very high tones on agrarian food issues. Mr Harakopoulos in the 2023 elections was third and has a local front with the second MP Christos Captain who considers he was favored centrally. The third “blue” of Larissa, however, is de facto “played” in a fragmentation regime. The same applies to the northern Sector of Athens, where Pavlos Marinakis enters as a new entry, resulting in Nikos Papathanassis, Dimitris Keridis and Zoe Rapti. In the southern sector, the derby is particularly caught by Yiannis Kallianos, Sofia Voultepsi and Anna Karamanlis, in their western sector Maria Syrengela, Dimitris Kalogeropoulos and the newly -Erythus Irini Agapidakis, in Eastern Attica and Stelios Petzos Simopoulos and Diamantis Kalidakis, while the Equal Member Nefeli Hadjiioannidou also comes in the equation. Similarly in Piraeus, in the First District there will be a battle for the third seat held by Nikos Vlachakos today and in Piraeus II. Take 4 seats again, so the derby will be played between George Brettakou, Michalis Livanou, Dimitris Markopoulos and Yiannis Tragakis (if he goes down again).

Photo: Eurokinissi

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