OR New bloody rise in Kashmir restores one of the oldest and most explosives to the center territorial issues on the planet. Her murder attack April 22nd in Indian Cashmere With 26 dead civilians it was the fuse. Two weeks later, India launched a large -scale airline (“Sindoor”) in Pakistani territories and areas of Kashmir under Pakistani control, triggering a new military confrontation race. Fears of a war domino are no longer a scenario, but an immediate danger.
The escalation
OR India’s business was accompanied by blows to at least six Pakistani citiescausing 26 dead, including children. Pakistani artillery fire answers and Indian Kashmir Rockets resulted in eight dead, raising the total number of civilians who died at 36 in less than 48 hours. The border of the two countries in Kashmir are re -burned.
How did we get here
OR India blamed ‘Kashmir Resistance Front’a group allegedly related to the well -known terrorist organization Lashkar-e-Taiba – Responsible for the Multipurpose Bombay attack in 2008 – and has links with Pakistani Secret Services (ISI). Islamabad categorically denied any involvement. But Prime Minister Monty was clear: ‘We will punish those responsible beyond any imagination’.
India, with background and upcoming elections, appears determined to show a fist, especially under the leadership of Narendra Monti who has built his profile in a nationalist narrative and a rigorous attitude towards Pakistan. In 2019, after the attack on Pulwama, he had again launched air raids on Pakistani Balacott.
Why Kashmir remains a gunpowder
Kashmir is a divisive area Since 1947, when the British departure left the issue of the integration of the Principality open. India and Pakistan have fought three times for the areawhile the control line (LOC) is actually an informal and volatile border. In Kashmir there is a mainly Muslim population that often complains about oppression, while in Pakistan the narrative is that it is a “liberation” struggle.
In 2019, India proceeded to Abolition of the autonomous status of the Jamo and Kashmirintensifying rage in the Muslim element and causing new tension with Pakistan.
What is in danger now
- Locally: A generalized military conflict, with heavy casualties in one of the most densely populated areas on the planet.
- Peripherally: Overturning balances in southern Asia and activating other volatility outbreaks, such as Afghanistan or border with China.
- Nuclear risk: Recall that both countries are nuclearwith the possibility of using regular weapons being reported from time to time.
Concern
The UN, the Washington and Brussels have appealed appeals for degenerationbut without a clear mediation plan. China is watching closely as it has close relationships with Pakistan, but also sensitive border differences with India. OR European Union limited to statements of ‘concern’ while the Russia He tries to maintain neutrality as he has relationships with both.
Conclusion
Kashmir is an old wound that never closed. Every new spark can be a fire. Today’s ignition is more dangerous than ever: it combines nationalist rhetoric, high -power weapons, digital propaganda and lack of international supervision. A local conflict is in danger of being done international crisis.
If there is no de -escalation soon, the international community may attend the first war clash between nuclear forces in the 21st century. And then, the price will not only concern India and Pakistan.