There are little to maneuver for Hamas, as the Palestinian organization is left with few negotiating papers and is now in the face of the pressure of the Israeli army.
After many weeks of deadlock in indirect conversations between Israel and Hamas on the continuation of the truce, the first phase of which came into force on January 19, Israel repeated its large -scale military operations on Monday night with a Tuesday.
Enhanced by the support of US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promised “hell” to the Palestinians of Gaza until Hamas surrendered the hostages he still holds.
Israel does not consider the possibility of suspending his military operations Since the Palestinian organization does not deposit weapons, it does not accept the complete demilitarization of Gaza and does not accept that it has no role in the future governing of the pocket.
Hamas’s Great Dilemma
Under these circumstances, Hamas, whose leadership – mainly the military – has been decimated by the beginning of the war which began after the Palestinian organization’s attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, appears to be in the face of a difficult dilemma: In a full war, risking the Palestinian plagues even further.
“If the hostages are released under the pressure of Israeli attacks, then Hamas will have no other guarantee,” Ganan Hatib Palestinian political analyst and former minister said, that “the margin of maneuvering (the Palestinian movement) is declining.”
More than 48 hours after the first Israeli blows, Hamas avoided launching rockets against Israel and insists that it is open to the negotiations, asking the UN to “take extraordinary measures” to end “the attack” and “Genoconcid”.
“The American and Israeli strategy, together, is to force Hamas to retreat,” but this has not worked, says Leila Seurat specializing in matters relating to the Palestinian movement in the Arab Center for Research and Political Studies (Carep). She estimates that “Hamas is based on mediators, abroad, and the division of one of Israel” in order to stop the blows.
Qatar and Egypt, the two Arab countries that have been mediated by the ceasefire in January, have called for the repetition of negotiations, condemned the repetition of Israeli plagues, and have demanded that the process as provided for in the truce agreement.
But the US is clearly supporting Israel.
‘They prefer to commit suicide’
Under these circumstances, the Hamas leaders “will not release the hostages, they prefer to commit suicide with the people of Gaza,” notes Michael Milestin on Palestinian issues at the University of Tel Aviv. “But many Israelis, mainly among those who make decisions, do not understand that.”
Milstein points out that Hamas considers him Death of leaders of the executives ‘reasonable price’ For her struggle.
“At the diplomatic level, the sides involved in the political process should think of an exit strategy for Hamas,” Hatimp commented.
Israeli officials want to eliminate Hamas as a military force and as a government in Gaza. However, the movement, although repeatedly stated ready not to participate in the future pocket governance, excludes the possibility of depositing weapons.
“It is a movement that self -characteristics resistance,” Seurat notes, “this will never be renounced.”
Hatib thinks there is a lever for pressure on Hamas: To forced ‘its leaders or its fighters’ to leave Gaza“As happened with the Fighters and executives of the Palestinian liberation in 1982” by Lebanon.
It remains to be found the country that will welcome them.