Rapid rise was recorded in the midst of prices producer in fruitas showed ELSTAT (15.9.2025) yesterday.
Fruit prices – when they come out of the producer’s field – increased by 48.7% annually, and with a monthly change of +18.5% against June. The total agricultural outflow index moved to +4.5%, with the fruit subgroup being the key factor in the rise.
At the same time, however, the input price index in agriculture fell 1.4% annually, which means that equipment and materials needed in production were cheaper than last year.
It is noteworthy that the 12 -month mobile average of the General outflow index remains reduced by 2.4%, indicating that the strong rise in fruit is relatively recent. In inflows, the fall came mainly from consumables and especially from energy and lubricants.
Smaller, for the time being, the shelf imprinting
Despite rising fruit prices and consumer levels, it is a fact that the change in consumer prices is lower. In August 2025, the “fruit” category in the consumer price index was higher by 11.6% annually (with general inflation at 2.9%).
The difference with producer prices can be explained by the time lag in the transmission of price changes, which means that no greater increase in consumer prices should be excluded shortly.
Why are producer prices rising
As can be seen from the fall of input prices, the rise to outflow is not due to greater operating costs, but to significant problems on the supply side. As market players point out, this year’s offer to basic summer categories was significantly limited.
Production of peaches and nectarines is estimated at about 21% compared to 2024 due to frosts, quartz and unstable spring conditions, with greater intensity in Pella and Imathia.
In cherries, March frosts and bad weather has led to the lowest production of recent years, boosting prices.
And at European level, agricultural output prices have been upward (about +5.6% in the second quarter), but the rise in fruit in Greece has significantly exceeded the average, showing local particularities in supply. Despite the increase in imports, they are not sufficient to fill the gaps of domestic production in critical summer weeks.
Now, interest is shifting to apples, pears and early citrus fruits. If the weather is normalized and import flows work seamlessly, the shelf pressures can be mitigated. On the contrary, any new disturbance in the offer will maintain high prices at least until the completion of the current trade season.