Losses were mitigated in the futures contracts of American shares They were mitigated while the oil prices recorded the downside by the US president Donald Trump He said he would decide within two weeks whether Washington will take part with Israel to launch attacks on Iran.
Contracts for the S&P 500 declined by about 0.3% from Wednesday’s closure (18.6.25), compared to a 0.9% drop recorded yesterday (19.6.25). It is recalled that the US markets were closed yesterday for a holiday. The Trump statement offered investors some short -term clarity. However, it failed to decisively face the wider uncertainty about the possible US involvement and the risk of renewed inflationary energy.
Argon Brent fell by about 2% today (20.6.25), after a moderate profit previously, during the week. US bonds remained steady, while the dollar was weakened. The GEN was reinforced to about 145 per dollar.
“Recent air raids are jeopardizing the new energy market landscape. However, the further impact on global energy prices appear, at least for the time being, limited, “said Kieran Calder, head of research on shares in Asia at Union Bancaire Privee in Singapore. “Markets tend not to valued the geopolitical dangers until a fire breaks out and at present do not show many signs that they take into account the worst possible result.”
The climate of investors became more cautious after a Bloomberg report that senior US officials are preparing for a possible hit in Iran in the coming days. The markets were already in turmoil after the US Federal Bank downgraded its growth estimates this year and envisaged higher inflation.
Israel hit more than Iran’s nuclear facilities on Thursday and warned that its attacks could throw Tehran’s leadership, as both sides waited for a decision by Trump on whether to participate in the attack.
Some extreme scenarios resulting from increased US involvement in Israel-Iran war could push oil prices to $ 130 to $ 150 a barrel, especially if Iran reacts significantly, said Jennifer McKeown, leading economist at Capital Economics. Such a development would end the further relaxation of politics by central banks, he said.
“Although central banks would like to believe that this would be a temporary blow, I think it would be a brave central bank that would raise interest rates,” McKeown told Bloomberg television.
Brett’s future fulfillment contracts have evaluated a geopolitical premium of about $ 8 per barrel since Israel and Iran began attacking each other last week, according to research by analysts and traders. The US intervention in the conflict would further strengthen this, but how exactly it will depend on the nature of the involvement, the nine respondents said.
In Japan, a key measure of consumer inflation has been accelerated in a two -year -old new high, as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is preparing for the summer elections, and the Japan Bank is considering the country’s prices. The Japan Ministry of Finance will seek comments from market players later on Friday on the scheduled reductions in the issuance of over-term bonds as it takes measures to suppress unrest on the market.
Meanwhile, in Thailand, Prime Minister’s political fate Paetongtarn Shinawatra remains uncertain on Friday, as opposition and nationalist groups continued to put pressure on it to resign after a telephone call leak in which she criticized her army.
Elsewhere in Asia, the figures to be published on Friday includes foreign exchange reserves in India. The markets are closed in New Zealand.