Divided are the Turks seismologists on the continuation of seismic behavior in Constantinople and the sea of Marmara, just 24 hours after the “hit” earthquake of 6.2 points on the Richter scale on April 23.
Several seismologists, most notably the widely known Naji Giorur, express the view that the 6.2 Richter earthquake is a “harbinger” of the large 7.2 R earthquake expected in the same area and will release ten times more energy – perhaps more on a logarithm.
It is noted that the seismologists divide the northern branch of the section of the northern Anatolia rift passing through the Marmara Sea into three pieces. The eastern part is the one that gave the great earthquake of 7.4 degrees in the Gulf of Nicomedia in 1999, the western part that reaches the Gulf of Xiros in Eastern Thrace and coming out to the North Aegean, had given a similar size in 1912, while the central section was the 23rd.
They also sound the alarm, that the continuation of the rift to the east and until the rift that gave the 1999 earthquake has not yet been “broken” and that the April 23 earthquake creates trends that will give a new earthquake when they reach a crucial point.
Await the big earthquake over 7 degrees
According to them Seismologists still awaiting the big earthquake over 7 degreesthe eastern sequel to the last earthquake and passes through the maritime country to the south of the center of Constantinople has not yet “broken”, it still accumulates energy and the earthquake on April 23 exerts trends and so the great earthquake comes closer to it.
Professor of earthquakes Naji Giorur says that “this is not the big earthquake we expect. The intensity concentrated in the rift is dumped. The real earthquake will be larger and will exceed 7 Richter. ” In his post he wrote: “The earthquake of Constantinople (Marmara’s earthquake) will take place. The latest earthquakes of April 23 brought the earthquake of Constantinople even closer. “
Professor of Geophysics at the Technical University of Constantinople (ITU), Okan Tujuz, says there is still waiting for a major earthquake in the Marmara Sea. “Since August 17, on the already sliding territory of this area since August 17 (in the great earthquake of 1999), a 15% transposition was transferred and brought the expected earthquake closer.”
Most seismologists also agree on the fact that there is a gradual development that takes place over time and that yesterday’s 6.2 Richter is a continuation of the 5.8 Richter that gave the rift in 2019.
On the other hand, other seismologists appear more optimistic and argue that 6.2 Richter is a powerful earthquake that has been extinguishing accumulated energy in a rift that had a great earthquake over 250 years.
“Yesterday’s earthquakes in Marmaras, be quiet”
Professor Sener Osumezoi is a special case, as he had predicted the 1999 earthquake and a few weeks ago he had said he was expecting a 6-6.5-magnitude earthquake in the area where the 6.2 vibration was finally off Silivria.
“Yesterday the earthquakes in Marmaras were over. Be quiet, “he said the day after the great earthquake. He emphasized that “the expected earthquake in Marmara took place and there will no longer be a major earthquake”, and it reacted harshly against his colleagues claiming that a major earthquake in Constantinople is “on the way”. “From now on, earthquakes are” stumbled “. I know the Marmara Sea like the palm of my hand, ”he insisted.
And Professor Osman Bektash says that “there is no reason for concern. There may be aftershocks but we do not expect a larger earthquake. Because the rift here, until so much energy could accumulate. “
The prestigious professor of geophysics Ovgiun Ahmet Erjan It expresses a view that could be characterized as a middle path. He said that “the energy was released as the Hiroshima bomb. I had said that before the main earthquake of 7.2 Richter there would be 6 Richter earthquakes. This is one of them. ” It is, however, placing the very powerful earthquake in more than 20 years from today. “This was not the great earthquake of Constantinople we expected. We still have time for him. I don’t think it will happen before 2045 and 2065, “he said.
Finally, concerns between residents caused the three consecutive earthquakes that occurred on Friday morning (25.04.2025) in the province of Kyutachia of Western Turkey.