‘Fires’ in the world money markets have lit duties of Donald Trump. In a new article today (07.04.2025) the BBC wonders whether the latest rapid developments lead to a recession the world economy.
According to the BBC, Donald Trump’s duties and “seismic vibrations” on international stock markets “They don’t always mean that economic misery is in front of us, but sometimes it means.”
Of course, it does not mean that the recession is inevitable, but the odds are clearly much greater than it was before The US President announces the strictest and most extensive duties that have been observed for a century.
An economy is set to be in recession when all of all we spend or exported by us and the government is shrinking for two consecutive three -month periods.
In fact, BBC brings out the British economy as an example:
From October to December last year the United Kingdom economy developed by only 0.1%, and the latest monthly data showed that it shrunk by the same percentage in January 2025.
The first assessment of how the British economy did in February is expected to be announced on April 11th.
So, – notes the BBC – We abstain from being able to say if we pay the official definition of recession.
However, there are some worrying losses.
OR HSBC and the Standard Chartered They both retreated over 10% before recovering a “ground”, and warning signs are also available in goods.
Copper and oil prices are considered barometers of global economic “health” and both have fallen more than 15%.
The 1930s, the consequences of the 1929 crash and the panic around the pandemic of 2020, are three rare examples when we saw synchronized recessions in large economies.
Is still considered unlikely to see something of such a scale this time but The chances of recession in the US, the United Kingdom and the European Union have been significantly upgraded Of most economic analysts, the BBC article concludes.