Antonis Samaras: Today the speech at the War Museum – counts the possibility of a new party

The one million euro question these days in the center -right field is’ where does the Antonis Samaras;“, With the expansion of the question to whether the former prime minister has made the decision to create a new party in his long political presence for the second time. “And if Samaras does it, he won’t want to be identified with Spring political“, Tells the protothema.gr person who knows the thoughts and strategy of Mr Samaras.

The reason for the discussion, which has been opened with intensity and we have even arrived and At the point of having a poll record of a potential dynamic of a party Under the former prime minister, he was given by an article by Mr Samaras to the “News” a few weeks ago, in which fired a fire against government’s foreign policy. Today, the former prime minister is expected to give a new “fuel” to the ongoing debate, speaking in the presentation of journalist Stavros Lygeros’ book on the war in Ukraine. In the previous days he put the last touches on his speech after his “fiery” deposition last Thursday In the trial of the “hoodlums” witness of the Novartis casefor which he was accused. His post -chronic exemption from justice did not “cut” the tension for the former prime minister, who believes he was personally dismissed and accused of his personal and political extermination, so he says he will go to the “to the end”.

And tonight’s speech by Mr. Samaras at the War Museum is expected to be in high tones. Taking a cause from the war in Ukraine, the Greek stance, but also the wider geopolitical rearrangements, the former prime minister is expected, according to his interlocutors, to report with intensity ‘Failure of foreign policy, which is blatant and in all fields».

It is even expected to make targeted reports, while the target of its target is Foreign Minister. However, neither Mr Gerapetritis nor Mr Mitsotakis will be named. According to the “THEME”, however, the greatest political interest will be the conclusion of his speech, which is expected to feed the debate on a new body. Mr Samaras will talk about the inability of the government but will re -disconnect the present -day ND by the wider lineup And it will refer to critical precepts for the country. Reports that some may take as a prelude to future plans, which have not been transformed into definitive decisions so far.

However, the former prime minister in the previous days visited the Simon Petra Monastery and the Vatopedi Monastery in Agion Termsaying a phrase that was interpreted by many as “oracle”. “Many ask if I do a party. And they will continue to ask“, He said, without cutting the discussion that is obvious that he is interested in continuing to be done. A person who ate with the former prime minister a few days ago reports that Mr Samaras did not talk about a relative talkalthough it was in a familiar environment.

‘Counts it’

People who talk to him for years do not exclude the scenario from creating a new party, but not immediately. “He still weighs it and counts it,” his close political friend tells protothema.gr, adding the parameter that the former prime minister does not like to stay politically inactive, given that he is the longest -running MP in the Greek Parliament, elected since 1977, elected in 1977, With the exception of the period 1996-2007. They believe that he himself will not be in a hurry, given that the elections still seem to be slow and an initiative that can be announced prematurely is facing the risk of losing at the critical time. And of course they treat the scenarios to announce as… ridicule the establishment of a party on June 30anniversary of the establishment of Spring Political in 1993.

In any case, Mr Samaras focuses his attention on a critical mass of voters who are essentially removed from the parties and especially from the ND. And he has mentioned 1.3 million voters who, between the 2023 national elections and the 2024 European elections, stayed on the couch and did not vote again the ND. “People for some reason have never voted on the ND again. There are also others who are left to vote on ND but through their teeth … they find“, Says Mr Samaras’ close associate, explaining the potential target group. People who know him report that at this time and in Greece it is observed An interesting trend that converges with what was done in Europe and the USin recent electoral clashes: Left’s electoral influence is shrinking, while the electoral dynamics of the parties on the right of the map is growing. However, in Greece there is also a multiplication in Greece (Greek solution, victorious, voice of reason) and the absence of a leading personality.

Mr Samaras’ political friends therefore appreciate that his recovery with a new body could “fill” this gap And to give an opportunity to represent many frustrated ND voters who can “flirt” again with the … sofa. It could also take voters who headed to right -wing parties … by necessity and due to the absence of an alternative.

The measurements

The “Samaritan” camp is recorded as very interesting recent measurements that record the potential influence of a party under the former prime minister, who still does not … exist. In the MRB survey of Open, 80.1% say that a Samaritan party would definitely or probably not vote, while 16.1% say they would probably or would definitely support it. In the ND, 75.5% of her voters say she would not follow him, while only 22% say they are positive. In a similar study by Alco on the “topical”, 20% of respondents find it necessary to return the former prime minister to the forefront, while within the ND the rate rises to 26% in favor of the former prime minister’s recovery. However, in a recent interview of Political, only 10% would support a new political body led by the former prime minister, while 85% are negative.

Sources around Mr Samaras estimate that These numbers are not negligible for a party that … does not exist And they could, if he decided to press the button for his return, be a good starting point. Other pollsters, however, are not so encouraging in their analyzes. “The question for a party that does not exist is by definition problematic, you have to ask more questions to understand who the real stakeholders are“, Tells the protothema.gr an experienced piston. He also adds that rarely the “potential” voters of a party correspond to the votes this party takes in the ballot box if it appears.

MPs and Karamanlis

In the ranks of ND MPs there are conflicting views on whether the former prime minister will make the boldness. Some, analyzing movements and silences, estimate that in the end it will move. Others estimate that it will weigh the data and will not take the crucial step, though everyone admits that it has a network of contacts across the country and a mechanism. Some of course, such as the Dora Bakoyannisthey are more comprehensive. “The two -sequence of the wise man’s man“, Said the former minister and… the eternal political opponent of Mr Samaras, who She also experienced her deletion in 2010along with the forced return due to a juncture in 2012 and the “co -habitation” with the former prime minister.

An interesting element, however, will be which MPs of the ND will present the presentation of the Ligeros book today. According to information from the Samaritan camp, Mr Samaras has not taken any Member of Parliament To invite him and ideally, if he was in his hand, he would not want the presence from the parliamentary group to the audience so that the arithmetic would not start. It is, however, regarded as unlikely political friends, such as Messinia Maltos Chrysomallis, to be absent. On the other hand, the former prime minister Kostas Karamanlis It separates its position from the scenarios of the creation of a party, but also of a “young man” in this party. “Kostas Karamanlis is not involved in scenarios, discussions, processes and does not want to get involved“, They say monotonous sources from the environment of the former former prime minister, thus wanting to” break “the” duo “image that the two have composed with their joint interventions.

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