Unexpected reduction was recorded by the payroll In US companies in September – partly – due to problems with data analysis.
Payrolls in the private sector declined by 32,000 after a revised 3,000 reduction last month, according to ADP Research data published Wednesday (1.10.2025). That number was lower than all estimates in a Bloomberg survey among economists.
The adjustment resulted in a reduction of 43,000 jobs in September compared to pre-adjusted data, according to the report. This suggests that the increase in wages would be slightly positive if the adjustment had not been made. However, ADP said the trend of recruitment remained unchanged and the creation of jobs continued to lose momentum in most areas.
ADP data is expected to be the most important report on the labor market this week, as government data on employment in September, scheduled for Friday, will be delayed due to the government’s shutdown. The ADP report may exaggerate labor market inability, as other sources generally show anemic employment increased, reduced hiring, few redundancies and moderate wage increase.
The US Federal Bank (FED) reduced interest rates last month due to labor market weakness, and officials are closely monitoring any signs of further deterioration. However, with many policy -making managers still cautious about prolonged inflation, it is not clear how the Central Bank will proceed with further interest rates reductions – especially if they do not have the latest government’s employment report at the end of the month.
Payrolls were reduced in sectors such as tourism and hospitality, business services and financial activities, as well as in the production of goods such as construction and manufacturing, according to ADP. The field of education and health services was one of the few areas that showed an increase in the number of employees.
The US Middle Affairs was the only large US area to decline in jobs, which was gathered in businesses with less than 500 employees.