OR France enters a period of unprecedented uncertainty. The fall of François Bairou It has not resolved anything: the National Assembly remains unchanged, the opposition more determined than ever, and the threat of downgrading French credit rating is already struck by the end of the week. In this climate of mistrust, every day without prime minister reinforces the isolation of Emmanuel Macron, whose popularity is already at the lowest point.
According to Figaro, the problem for him Emmanuel Macron It is not so much to find the right person as to find the right pace after François Bairou’s fall. Delay will be considered a sign of weakness; the rush is in danger of confusing speed with sloppiness. France’s next prime minister, in order to survive, must secure a non -censorship agreement – a huge challenge, as opposition is now reluctant to support a “weaker than ever” power.
OR National Coalition (RN) bets on a rapid dissolutionsure to benefit. The Socialists are crammed between a budget that is considered unrealistic and the attacks of the disobedient France, calling for the president to be demolished. As for the Republicans, they refuse to be seduced into the “Titanic”. Within this landscape, no miraculous alliance appears. The likelihood of a forced dismantling, after the opportunity of a controlled dismantling has been missed, lies as an immediate threat to Elise.
With the back to the wall
The analysis of the Swiss Le Temps is even sharper: Emmanuel Macron is now on the wall back. For more than a year it requires allies and opponents to leave part of their program in the name of the compromise. But now it is his turn to retreat. The next prime minister will only be able to stand up if he makes significant concessions, even if this means questioning the heart of Macronism. Taxing the large property required by the Socialist Party, is the most striking example.
If the President refuses to adapt, France is in danger with a double deadlock: Censorship of the next prime minister or new dismantling that will probably lead to a parliament again without a clear majority. In both cases, his power will be irreparably reduced and his term of office can end with a forced cohabitation.
An impossible equation
For Macron, time is pushing. Fiscal pressure, political tensions and market pressure create an equation that Figaro describes as “impossible”. Elise is called upon to choose between immediate survival and strategic retreat. And this paradox may determine not only the future of five years, but also the position of the president in the recent history of the fifth French Republic.