Jerusalem’s Security and Foreign Affairs Center (JCPA) recently published a report stating that the Israel prepares a new strategy to eliminate the threats of Iran Whether it is the Nuclear Program of the Islamic Republic or the development programs of advanced military equipment.
The report states that the war between Iran and Israel is not over yet, as Iran continues its efforts to enrich uranium and rebuild its ballistic missile program:
“In coordinating with the United States, Israel is working to form a new strategic deterrence by power, conducting air and secret operations within Iranian territory, to prevent Tehran from restoring its uranium enrichment and its rocket infrastructure.
Senior US officials estimate that Iran is interested in re -launching negotiations on a new nuclear deal, despite recent Israeli and US blows to its nuclear facilities. In fact, this interest stems mainly from the intense economic pressure and the desire to remove the serious western sanctions imposed on the country. “
US involvement and Iran’s fear
OR Report of JCPA He stresses that US policy aims to ensure Iran’s commitment not to repeat uranium enrichment and to remove the stock -enriched uranium stock from the country as part of a future political agreement:
“The Trump government also seeks to present any post -war agreement as unconditional Iranian tradition. However, the Iranian authorities, even after the recent blow to their nuclear infrastructure, confirm their determination to continue their enrichment activities within Iran’s borders. “
According to the report, Iranians are afraid that any concession at this stage will be regarded as a sign of weaknessencouraging the United States and Israel to issue further demands, such as restrictions on Iran’s ballistic missiles:
“Following Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s recent visit to Washington and his meetings with senior US officials, discussions also seem to have included the possibility of a new blow to Iran if the negotiations fail again.”
Senior diplomatic sources report that President Trump’s return to the White House has radically shifted the regional balance. Until recently, Iran was operating with almost complete impunity in its nuclear and missile programs. “
Israel’s ‘Mabam’ doctrine
The report emphasizes that “the Iranian regime is in crisis”, noting that Iran’s top leader Ali Hameni now feels more vulnerable than ever:
“Iran has lost its strategic air defense systems, Israeli fighter jets have dominated the country’s airspace for the first time in decades and the country is paying a heavy price for its ambition to dominate the Middle East.”
The rules of the game have changed and are going to change further. According to security officials, Israel is preparing to re -apply the operational doctrine of ‘war between wars (War Between the Wars, also known as Mabam in Hebrew) against Iran.
This strategy includes the Start of targeted attacks on Iranian territory against nuclear and ballistic missiles Every time Iran attempts to restore damaged infrastructure. “
The researchers also estimate that “the new escalation is a possibility, as both the United States and Israel believe that any relaxation of military or political pressure in Iran will be interpreted as weakness.”
Israel, on the other hand, adopts a harsh attitude, urging continuous military pressure on Iran to create a constant deterrent: ‘Israeli estimates show that as long as Hameni remains in power, conflict with Iran will be extended and not resolved with a single decisive blowยป.
Therefore, Israel prefers to apply a war strategy between wars, Using a series of air strikes or Mosad secret operations to delay or disrupt Iran’s nuclear and missile ambitions without triggering a full -scale war.
The Israeli strategy
However, this strategy is not dangerous, as the application of this business doctrine against Iran Iran could lead to mutual escalation circles:
“The evolving Israeli strategy is to systematically weaken Iran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons in the long run, in order to force Tehran to review the feasibility and cost of reviving its nuclear program.
The defensive doctrine of Israel is now based on the belief that will not achieve its minimum goals without a bold and aggressive attitude designed to prevent Tehran from Continue pursuing nuclear and missile capabilities.
From Iran’s point of view, the end of the war while maintaining political and social cohesion and maintaining infrastructure that is vital to its long -term strategic programs along with Israel’s failure to subdue or limit its actions means that Iran has not been defeated. “
Source: Ertnews / Welsh