Breathtaking the planet is watching dramatic developments in the Middle East, with the US president Donald Trump finally throw the US into the war between Iran and Israel, awaiting Tehran’s response.
US aircraft bombed on Sunday morning (22.06.25) nuclear facilities in Iran in Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan, according to Donald Trump, referring to a very successful attack. A short time later, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu congratulated the US president on his “bold decision”. Dramatic developments “give birth” to a crucial question: How will Iran react?
As the BBC analyzes, the Iranian leadership is called upon to choose between three basic scenarios, each of which has different risks and political consequences:
1. Not to react
The first option is complete restraint. Iran could avoid immediate military response to the US in particular, possibly preventing a new round of US wounds. At the same time, abstinence from escalation could reopen the path of diplomacy and possibly a return to the US negotiating table.
However, such an attitude has a serious political cost inside. Following repeated warnings of Iranian officials for a “overwhelming response” in the event of an attack, the non -reaction may be perceived as a weakness and further erod the credibility of the regime towards the people.
2. To respond immediately and dynamically
The second option includes large -scale military response. Iran still has a remarkable arsenal of ballistic missiles, the result of years of growth and careful concealment. At its disposal lies a list of about 20 US bases throughout the Middle East that are considered potential targets.
A coordinated missile attack or even Swarm Attacks with drones and high -speed boats against US naval units to the Persian Gulf could send the message of determination pursued by Tehran. However, such a scenario has a high risk of generalized war and further catastrophic wounds.
3. To wait and hit later
The third option is to delay the answer. Iran could temporarily withdraw aggressive rhetoric, wait for the tension to decline, and choose the right time to bring about a surprise blow when US forces are not on top.
This scenario is in line with the tactic followed by Tehran in the past – an approach that allows it to maintain strategic control and choose the terms of the conflict.