The meteorological forecasts for this summeras experts expect very warm conditions in Europe and especially in the south and east.
As the Atmospheric G2 meteorologist Tod Crawford told Montel, “we expect another unusual warm summer, especially in southern and eastern Europe. Long -term forecasts are the most impressive we have seen to date in terms of the intensity and extent of the temperature abnormality. “
The effect of high temperatures is expected to be strong in the energy sector, as in addition to demand, they affect hydroelectric reserves and the availability of nuclear units.
It is worth noting that in previous years we have already witnessed nuclear stations in France that was necessarily closed because the temperature in the rivers supplying water to cool them had reached prohibitive levels. As France is the largest exporter of electricity to mainland Europe, the loss of at least some nuclear will limit the quantities to other countries. Thus, it can cause a domino of more expensive values that will even affect the Balkans.
At the same time, a warm summer means a perpetuation of drought and water scarcity that are already affecting the Old Epirus and Greece. In the energy part, hydroelectric reservoirs are exhausted, resulting in more production from conventional units or imports. This increases the costs for consumers.
Indicatively, Montel observes that this May this May the hydroelectric production in Europe has been in a low eight years for the season.
Finally, the pricing side remains to be seen whether July and August will bring the very high prices we saw last year. Recall that outbreaks of more than 200 euros for several days had occurred in the domestic market. The average price last year in July was 130 euros and in August 137 euros, which led the government to subsidies to households.
The RIS has pledged to do the same this year, although it is hoped that the increased penetration of RES will also lead to low -priced intervals that can balance things throughout each month.